The Difficulty Analyzing CEIV – Abduction Cases

We have been hesitant to delve into the UFO abduction topic due to the high level of unfactual contamination inherent in this corner of ufology. Abduction cases are subject to large amounts of hoax, alternative causes such as sleep paralysis/night terrors and an absence of physical evidence (analysis of materials removed from the bodies ofContinue reading “The Difficulty Analyzing CEIV – Abduction Cases”

The Usefulness of Probability in the Approach to the Study of the UFO/UAP Phenomenon.

If you estimate probabilities for every belief you can therefore choose the belief that features the highest probability. This is can be used for purposes of predicting outcomes. But it can also be used to add weight to a belief one is looking to validate. We take a basic probability formula, P(A) = n(A)/n(S) orContinue reading “The Usefulness of Probability in the Approach to the Study of the UFO/UAP Phenomenon.”